Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Illescas
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.27)
0.50 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.1% | 48.6% | 28.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
39.7%
0 - 1
19.9%
1 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Villarrubia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Illescas | 0 | 39.7% | 19.9% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 8.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Illescas | Villarrubia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 47% |
| Attack | 22% | 44% |
| Defense | 33% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Illescas | Villarrubia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 18% | 25% | 22% | 73% | 25% | 48% |
| Draws | 64% | 8% | 35% | 0% | 42% | 22% |
| Loses | 18% | 67% | 43% | 27% | 33% | 30% |
IllescasDDWDLLWDWWLDLDLDLWLDLLL
VillarrubiaWDWDWDLLWLWLWWLWWDWDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Illescas | Villarrubia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 20 | 27 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Illescas | Villarrubia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 48% | 65% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 35% | 48% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 13% | 13% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Illescas | Villarrubia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Illescas | Villarrubia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Illescas | Villarrubia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Illescas | Villarrubia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 88% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.02 @ Pinnacle
Away3.05 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.97 @ Marathonbet
No1.75 @ William Hill
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League standings
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