Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal de Illescas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.30) 0.67 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.7% 37.4% 27.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.5%
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 1
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Marchamalo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Illescas 0 23.5% 15.7% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.3% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.2% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIllescasMarchamalo
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack10%100%
Defense50%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Illescas Marchamalo
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins17%23%20%46%17%32%
Draws67%8%36%31%17%24%
Loses17%69%44%23%67%44%

Form: Illescas: DDWDLLWDWWLDLDLDLWLDLLLDL • Marchamalo: DLWLDLDLLDWLWLLWWLWDLWWLD

League goals

Metric Illescas Marchamalo
HATHAT
GF total7916191332
GF avg0.60.70.61.51.11.3
GA total72128132033
GA avg0.61.61.11.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIllescasMarchamalo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%64%72%80%
1.516%32%32%44%
2.54%12%16%8%
3.50%4%4%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIllescasMarchamalo
HATHAT
Clean sheets729325
Failed to score7714347

Penalties

MetricIllescasMarchamalo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricIllescasMarchamalo
Wins22
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-33-02-5
Biggest losses0-24-00-23-1
Goals For2335
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricIllescasMarchamalo
Form13%88%
Att9%91%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total45.8%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : Illescas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Marathonbet
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Illescas = 0.78 (league 1.30), Marchamalo = 0.67 (league 0.99)

Marchamalo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Illescas 0 23.5% 15.7% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.3% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.2% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.7% · Draw 37.4% · Away win 27.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1