Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Illescas
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.28)
0.69 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.6% | 36.9% | 28.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
22.7%
1 - 0
18.0%
0 - 1
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Marchamalo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Illescas | 0 | 22.7% | 15.6% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.0% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Illescas | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 47% |
| Attack | 10% | 100% |
| Defense | 50% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Illescas | Marchamalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 17% | 23% | 20% | 46% | 17% | 32% |
| Draws | 67% | 8% | 36% | 31% | 17% | 24% |
| Loses | 17% | 69% | 44% | 23% | 67% | 44% |
IllescasDDWDLLWDWWLDLDLDLWLDLLLDL
MarchamaloDLWLDLDLLDWLWLLWWLWDLWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Illescas | Marchamalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 19 | 13 | 32 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 21 | 28 | 13 | 20 | 33 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Illescas | Marchamalo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 64% | 72% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 16% | 32% | 32% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 12% | 16% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Illescas | Marchamalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Illescas | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Illescas | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Illescas | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 88% |
| Att | 9% | 91% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.30 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.87 @ Marathonbet
No1.83 @ William Hill
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League standings
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