DFB Pokal — Germany
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 17:00 • MEWA ARENA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.86 (league 1.04) 0.05 (league 2.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.1% 2.4% 0.1%
best score tips
3 - 0
19.2%
4 - 0
18.5%
2 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
VfB Stuttgart
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 19.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 14.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFSV Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart
Played11
Form100%33%
Attack6%22%
Defense100%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 14 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 04 | 4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FSV Mainz 05 VfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
Played011011
Wins—100%100%—0%0%
Draws—0%0%—100%100%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%

Form: FSV Mainz 05: W • VfB Stuttgart: D

League goals

Metric FSV Mainz 05 VfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
GF total011044
GF avg0.01.01.00.04.04.0
GA total000044
GA avg0.00.00.00.04.04.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFSV Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.50%0%100%100%
2.50%0%100%100%
3.50%0%100%100%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFSV Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFSV Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFSV Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart
Wins10
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-1——
Biggest losses————
Goals For0104
Goals Against0004

Model comparison

MetricFSV Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart
Form75%25%
Att20%80%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FSV Mainz 05 or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away2.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Betano
Under 2.52.31 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ William Hill
No2.57 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 = 3.86 (league 1.04), VfB Stuttgart = 0.05 (league 2.36)

VfB Stuttgart
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 19.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 14.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.1% · Draw 2.4% · Away win 0.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1