Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Cesar Acuña Peralta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.61) 1.78 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.1% 22.2% 38.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
8.2%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
UCV Moquegua
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesar Vallejo 0 2.9% 5.3% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.1% 9.2% 8.2% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.6% 4.6% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCesar VallejoUCV Moquegua
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack90%80%
Defense20%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cesar Vallejo UCV Moquegua
HATHAT
Played91019121022
Wins56%30%42%58%30%45%
Draws22%10%16%17%50%32%
Loses22%60%42%25%20%23%

Form: Cesar Vallejo: LLWLWLWLDWWDDLWLLWW • UCV Moquegua: DLWLWWWWDWDWLDDWLWDDLW

League goals

Metric Cesar Vallejo UCV Moquegua
HATHAT
GF total18523201333
GF avg2.00.51.21.71.31.5
GA total1181991423
GA avg1.20.81.00.81.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCesar VallejoUCV Moquegua
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%63%86%64%
1.542%26%36%32%
2.516%11%14%5%
3.511%0%5%5%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCesar VallejoUCV Moquegua
HATHAT
Clean sheets437628
Failed to score279303

Penalties

MetricCesar VallejoUCV Moquegua
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCesar VallejoUCV Moquegua
Wins24
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-26-21-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-24-1
Goals For4262
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricCesar VallejoUCV Moquegua
Form53%47%
Att53%47%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total47.3%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or UCV Moquegua

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Unibet
Away6.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.85 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cesar Vallejo = 1.74 (league 1.61), UCV Moquegua = 1.78 (league 0.87)

UCV Moquegua
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesar Vallejo 0 2.9% 5.3% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.1% 9.2% 8.2% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.6% 4.6% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.1% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 38.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1