Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 21:00 • Estádio Luso-Brasileiro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.06 (league 0.98) 0.55 (league 0.71)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.5% 56.0% 40.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
54.2%
0 - 1
29.9%
0 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
América RJ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portuguesa RJ 0 54.2% 29.9% 8.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 3.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortuguesa RJAmérica RJ
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack50%100%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

34%
FT probability

2.5+

24%
FT probability

3.5+

17%
FT probability

BTTS

33%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portuguesa RJ América RJ
HATHAT
Played347549
Wins0%50%29%60%50%56%
Draws100%25%57%40%50%44%
Loses0%25%14%0%0%0%

Form: Portuguesa RJ: WDDDWDL • América RJ: DWDWWDDWW

League goals

Metric Portuguesa RJ América RJ
HATHAT
GF total1566511
GF avg0.31.30.91.21.31.2
GA total134202
GA avg0.30.80.60.40.00.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortuguesa RJAmérica RJ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%43%67%11%
1.529%14%44%11%
2.514%0%11%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortuguesa RJAmérica RJ
HATHAT
Clean sheets224448
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricPortuguesa RJAmérica RJ
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricPortuguesa RJAmérica RJ
Wins12
Draws32
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-22-00-3
Biggest losses1-0
Goals For1323
Goals Against1220

Model comparison

MetricPortuguesa RJAmérica RJ
Form35%65%
Att30%70%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total33.6%66.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or América RJ and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.62 @ Marathonbet
Away4.38 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.42 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Marathonbet
No1.63 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Portuguesa RJ = 0.06 (league 0.98), América RJ = 0.55 (league 0.71)

América RJ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portuguesa RJ 0 54.2% 29.9% 8.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 3.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.5% · Draw 56.0% · Away win 40.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1