Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio Municipal Rubén Deras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.25) 2.93 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.0% 15.7% 60.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.8%
1 - 3
7.6%
2 - 2
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
Victoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético Choloma 0 1.3% 3.7% 5.4% 5.3% 3.9% 2.3%
1 1.8% 5.3% 7.8% 7.6% 5.6% 3.3%
2 1.3% 3.8% 5.6% 5.5% 4.0% 2.4%
3 0.6% 1.8% 2.7% 2.6% 1.9% 1.1%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlético CholomaVictoria
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack25%31%
Defense31%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlético Choloma Victoria
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%0%13%0%25%13%
Draws0%25%13%0%0%0%
Loses75%75%75%100%75%88%

Form: Atlético Choloma: LDLLWLLL • Victoria: LLLLLLWL

League goals

Metric Atlético Choloma Victoria
HATHAT
GF total448235
GF avg1.01.01.00.50.80.6
GA total1492311718
GA avg3.52.32.92.81.82.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlético CholomaVictoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%25%100%
1.550%75%25%63%
2.50%63%13%50%
3.50%13%0%13%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlético CholomaVictoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score224336

Penalties

MetricAtlético CholomaVictoria
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAtlético CholomaVictoria
Wins11
Draws10
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-3
Biggest losses2-73-00-43-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against7343

Model comparison

MetricAtlético CholomaVictoria
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h64%36%
Goals54%46%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Double chance : Atlético Choloma or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Superbet
Away2.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Superbet
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlético Choloma = 1.44 (league 1.25), Victoria = 2.93 (league 0.96)

Victoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético Choloma 0 1.3% 3.7% 5.4% 5.3% 3.9% 2.3%
1 1.8% 5.3% 7.8% 7.6% 5.6% 3.3%
2 1.3% 3.8% 5.6% 5.5% 4.0% 2.4%
3 0.6% 1.8% 2.7% 2.6% 1.9% 1.1%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.0% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 60.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1