Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio José de la Paz Herrera Uclés
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.25 (league 1.23) 4.39 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.5% 9.4% 13.4%
best score tips
5 - 4
3.3%
4 - 4
3.2%
5 - 3
3.0%
Score & goals probability table
Juticalpa
0 1 2 3 4 5
CD Motagua 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 2.1%
4 0.2% 0.9% 2.0% 2.9% 3.2% 2.8%
5 0.2% 0.9% 2.1% 3.0% 3.3% 2.9%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCD MotaguaJuticalpa
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack75%63%
Defense63%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CD Motagua Juticalpa
HATHAT
Played459448
Wins25%60%44%50%50%50%
Draws50%0%22%25%25%25%
Loses25%40%33%25%25%25%

Form: CD Motagua: LLLDWWWDW • Juticalpa: LWDDWWLW

League goals

Metric CD Motagua Juticalpa
HATHAT
GF total98175712
GF avg2.31.61.91.31.81.5
GA total1061651116
GA avg2.51.21.81.32.82.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCD MotaguaJuticalpa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%75%75%
1.556%67%50%63%
2.544%33%25%13%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCD MotaguaJuticalpa
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricCD MotaguaJuticalpa
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%3 | 75.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%1 | 25.00%
Total24

Streaks

MetricCD MotaguaJuticalpa
Wins32
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-33-20-2
Biggest losses0-23-10-27-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against3327

Model comparison

MetricCD MotaguaJuticalpa
Form57%43%
Att55%45%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h100%0%
Goals81%19%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : CD Motagua or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ William Hill
Draw3.60 @ William Hill
Away4.94 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.25 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CD Motagua = 5.25 (league 1.23), Juticalpa = 4.39 (league 1.02)

Juticalpa
0 1 2 3 4 5
CD Motagua 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 2.1%
4 0.2% 0.9% 2.0% 2.9% 3.2% 2.8%
5 0.2% 0.9% 2.1% 3.0% 3.3% 2.9%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 9.4% · Away win 13.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1