Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio Francisco Morazán
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.25) 1.88 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.6% 20.2% 32.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lobos Upnfm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Espana 0 1.7% 3.1% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
1 3.7% 6.9% 6.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.1% 7.7% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.0% 5.7% 5.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.7% 3.1% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal EspanaLobos Upnfm
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack22%56%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Espana Lobos Upnfm
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins40%25%33%40%25%33%
Draws20%25%22%60%25%44%
Loses40%50%44%0%50%22%

Form: Real Espana: WLWWDLLLD • Lobos Upnfm: WLDLWWDDD

League goals

Metric Real Espana Lobos Upnfm
HATHAT
GF total67139615
GF avg1.21.81.41.81.51.7
GA total66126915
GA avg1.21.51.31.22.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal EspanaLobos Upnfm
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%89%78%
1.533%44%67%56%
2.522%22%11%22%
3.511%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal EspanaLobos Upnfm
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricReal EspanaLobos Upnfm
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 75.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 25.00%
Total04

Streaks

MetricReal EspanaLobos Upnfm
Wins22
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-33-24-1
Goals For4323
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricReal EspanaLobos Upnfm
Form18%82%
Att29%71%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lobos Upnfm

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ Superbet
Draw4.20 @ Unibet
Away5.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Espana = 2.21 (league 1.25), Lobos Upnfm = 1.88 (league 0.96)

Lobos Upnfm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Espana 0 1.7% 3.1% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
1 3.7% 6.9% 6.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.1% 7.7% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.0% 5.7% 5.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.7% 3.1% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.6% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 32.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1