Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio Juan Ramón Brevé Vargas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.25) 2.14 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.6% 20.6% 55.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
1 - 1
9.0%
0 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
CD Marathon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juticalpa 0 3.4% 7.2% 7.7% 5.5% 2.9% 1.3%
1 4.2% 9.0% 9.7% 6.9% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.6% 5.6% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.1% 2.4% 2.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuticalpaCD Marathon
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack33%53%
Defense60%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juticalpa CD Marathon
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins40%33%36%80%17%45%
Draws40%50%45%20%67%45%
Loses20%17%18%0%17%9%

Form: Juticalpa: LWDDWWLWDDD • CD Marathon: WWLWDDWDWDD

League goals

Metric Juticalpa CD Marathon
HATHAT
GF total6814131023
GF avg1.21.31.32.61.72.1
GA total612182810
GA avg1.22.01.60.41.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuticalpaCD Marathon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%91%55%
1.536%45%55%27%
2.518%9%27%9%
3.50%9%9%0%
4.50%9%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuticalpaCD Marathon
HATHAT
Clean sheets123415
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricJuticalpaCD Marathon
Scored (total | %)4 | 80.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 20.00%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricJuticalpaCD Marathon
Wins22
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-27-00-3
Biggest losses0-27-01-0
Goals For3373
Goals Against2723

Model comparison

MetricJuticalpaCD Marathon
Form40%60%
Att38%62%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h15%85%
Goals11%89%
Total31.5%68.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CD Marathon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ William Hill
Away1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.97 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Juticalpa = 1.25 (league 1.25), CD Marathon = 2.14 (league 0.96)

CD Marathon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juticalpa 0 3.4% 7.2% 7.7% 5.5% 2.9% 1.3%
1 4.2% 9.0% 9.7% 6.9% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.6% 5.6% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.1% 2.4% 2.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.6% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 55.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1