Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Óscar Peralta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.25) 1.33 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.8% 21.1% 23.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 0
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Génesis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juticalpa 0 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.9% 9.1% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.2% 9.5% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.0% 6.6% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.6% 3.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuticalpaGénesis
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack47%35%
Defense65%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juticalpa Génesis
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%40%44%40%0%22%
Draws25%40%33%40%0%22%
Loses25%20%22%20%100%56%

Form: Juticalpa: LWDDWWLWD • Génesis: LWLLLWLDD

League goals

Metric Juticalpa Génesis
HATHAT
GF total57126410
GF avg1.31.41.31.21.01.1
GA total511166814
GA avg1.32.21.81.22.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuticalpaGénesis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%89%89%
1.544%56%22%44%
2.522%11%0%22%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuticalpaGénesis
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricJuticalpaGénesis
Scored (total | %)3 | 75.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 25.00%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricJuticalpaGénesis
Wins21
Draws20
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-22-1
Biggest losses0-27-01-33-2
Goals For3322
Goals Against2733

Model comparison

MetricJuticalpaGénesis
Form67%33%
Att57%43%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h9%91%
Goals0%100%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Double chance : Juticalpa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Juticalpa = 2.08 (league 1.25), Génesis = 1.33 (league 0.98)

Génesis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juticalpa 0 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.9% 9.1% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.2% 9.5% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.0% 6.6% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.6% 3.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.8% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 23.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1