Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.58 (league 1.26) 2.09 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.7% 18.6% 30.1%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.8%
2 - 1
6.5%
3 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Génesis
0 1 2 3 4 5
CD Motagua 0 0.9% 2.0% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
1 2.4% 5.0% 5.3% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8%
2 3.1% 6.5% 6.8% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.7% 5.6% 5.9% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
4 1.7% 3.6% 3.8% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
5 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCD MotaguaGénesis
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack73%47%
Defense60%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CD Motagua Génesis
HATHAT
Played55106511
Wins20%60%40%33%0%18%
Draws60%0%30%33%20%27%
Loses20%40%30%33%80%55%

Form: CD Motagua: LLLDWWWDWD • Génesis: LWLLLWLDDDL

League goals

Metric CD Motagua Génesis
HATHAT
GF total98178513
GF avg1.81.61.71.31.01.2
GA total106169918
GA avg2.01.21.61.51.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCD MotaguaGénesis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%91%91%
1.550%60%27%45%
2.540%30%0%27%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCD MotaguaGénesis
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricCD MotaguaGénesis
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricCD MotaguaGénesis
Wins31
Draws13
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-32-1
Biggest losses0-23-11-33-2
Goals For3322
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricCD MotaguaGénesis
Form79%21%
Att61%39%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total66.7%33.3%

Advice: Double chance : CD Motagua or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Bet365
Draw4.40 @ Pinnacle
Away6.53 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CD Motagua = 2.58 (league 1.26), Génesis = 2.09 (league 0.96)

Génesis
0 1 2 3 4 5
CD Motagua 0 0.9% 2.0% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
1 2.4% 5.0% 5.3% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8%
2 3.1% 6.5% 6.8% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.7% 5.6% 5.9% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
4 1.7% 3.6% 3.8% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
5 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 30.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1