Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 15:00 • Greabochstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.71 (league 1.80) 3.16 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.2% 16.4% 39.3%
best score tips
2 - 3
5.5%
2 - 2
5.2%
3 - 3
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
Bad Sauerbrunn
0 1 2 3 4 5
St. Margarethen / Bur 0 0.3% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7%
1 0.8% 2.4% 3.8% 4.0% 3.2% 2.0%
2 1.0% 3.3% 5.2% 5.5% 4.3% 2.7%
3 0.9% 3.0% 4.7% 4.9% 3.9% 2.5%
4 0.6% 2.0% 3.2% 3.3% 2.6% 1.7%
5 0.3% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.9%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSt. Margarethen / BurBad Sauerbrunn
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack100%82%
Defense18%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric St. Margarethen / Bur Bad Sauerbrunn
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%25%29%33%50%43%
Draws67%75%71%33%25%29%
Loses0%0%0%33%25%29%

Form: St. Margarethen / Bur: DDDDWWD • Bad Sauerbrunn: WLWDDLW

League goals

Metric St. Margarethen / Bur Bad Sauerbrunn
HATHAT
GF total881621012
GF avg2.72.02.30.72.51.7
GA total67133710
GA avg2.01.81.91.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSt. Margarethen / BurBad Sauerbrunn
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%71%71%
1.571%57%43%43%
2.543%29%29%29%
3.514%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSt. Margarethen / BurBad Sauerbrunn
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricSt. Margarethen / BurBad Sauerbrunn
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSt. Margarethen / BurBad Sauerbrunn
Wins21
Draws42
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-21-03-5
Biggest losses0-23-2
Goals For4315
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricSt. Margarethen / BurBad Sauerbrunn
Form53%47%
Att57%43%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bad Sauerbrunn and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): St. Margarethen / Bur = 2.71 (league 1.80), Bad Sauerbrunn = 3.16 (league 1.58)

Bad Sauerbrunn
0 1 2 3 4 5
St. Margarethen / Bur 0 0.3% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7%
1 0.8% 2.4% 3.8% 4.0% 3.2% 2.0%
2 1.0% 3.3% 5.2% 5.5% 4.3% 2.7%
3 0.9% 3.0% 4.7% 4.9% 3.9% 2.5%
4 0.6% 2.0% 3.2% 3.3% 2.6% 1.7%
5 0.3% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.9%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 16.4% · Away win 39.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1