Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 • Pappelstadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.72) 0.70 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.8% 19.0% 11.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.5%
1 - 0
12.9%
3 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Deutschkreutz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mattersburg 2020 0 6.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.9% 9.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 6.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.9% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Mattersburg 2020 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 129 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Mattersburg 2020 +11.2, Deutschkreutz +47.4.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Mattersburg 2020 Elo 1638.7 · +11.2
vs
Deutschkreutz Elo 1544.3 · +47.4
Elo gapMattersburg 2020 +129
Home / draw / away56% / 18% / 26%
Expected home share68%
Combined Elo3183
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3183
Elo home share 68%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Mattersburg 2020 Deutschkreutz
Overall Elo1638.71544.3
Form Elo16641561.8
Home / Away Elo1549.41520.7
Attack Elo1725.71569.1
Defense Elo1565.31510.9
Last 5 Elo change+11.2+47.4

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Mattersburg 2020 last-5 Elo change: +11.2; Deutschkreutz last-5 Elo change: +47.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMattersburg 2020Deutschkreutz
Played55
Form73%100%
Attack83%83%
Defense58%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mattersburg 2020 Deutschkreutz
HATHAT
Played111122121123
Wins82%64%73%33%55%43%
Draws18%36%27%25%9%17%
Loses0%0%0%42%36%39%
Mattersburg 2020WWDWWDWWWWWWWWWDDWWDDW
DeutschkreutzWWLDDLDWLLWLLLLLDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Mattersburg 2020 Deutschkreutz
HATHAT
GF total263157221537
GF avg2.42.82.61.81.41.6
GA total81018211637
GA avg0.70.90.81.81.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMattersburg 2020Deutschkreutz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%68%87%70%
1.577%14%52%52%
2.545%0%17%26%
3.518%0%4%9%
4.59%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMattersburg 2020Deutschkreutz
HATHAT
Clean sheets437347
Failed to score000033

Penalties

MetricMattersburg 2020Deutschkreutz
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMattersburg 2020Deutschkreutz
Wins92
Draws22
Losses05

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-63-02-4
Biggest losses——3-54-0
Goals For4634
Goals Against2254

Model comparison

MetricMattersburg 2020Deutschkreutz
Form42%58%
Att50%50%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h100%0%
Goals73%27%
Total51.2%48.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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