Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
Sportplatz ASKÖ Köttmannsdorf
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 2.02)
2.54 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.1% | 15.2% | 71.2% |
best score tips
0 - 2
11.8%
0 - 3
10.0%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Wolfsberg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Köttmannsdorf | 0 | 3.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Wolfsberg carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 53 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Köttmannsdorf -3.6, Wolfsberg +33.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Köttmannsdorf
vs
Wolfsberg
Elo gapWolfsberg +53
Home / draw / away32% / 24% / 44%
Expected home share42%
Combined Elo3028.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3028.5
Elo home share
42%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Köttmannsdorf | Wolfsberg |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1470.1 | 1558.4 |
| Form Elo | 1466.1 | 1590.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1469 | 1488.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1503.5 | 1677.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1380.6 | 1429.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -3.6 | +33.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Köttmannsdorf last-5 Elo change: -3.6; Wolfsberg last-5 Elo change: +33.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Köttmannsdorf | Wolfsberg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 24% | 62% |
| Defense | 57% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Köttmannsdorf | Wolfsberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 20% | 50% | 35% | 78% | 50% | 63% |
| Draws | 30% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 30% | 16% |
| Loses | 50% | 30% | 40% | 22% | 20% | 21% |
KöttmannsdorfLLDDWWLDWLWDLWWDWLLL
WolfsbergWWWWLWLDLWWWWDWWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Köttmannsdorf | Wolfsberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 23 | 49 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 15 | 21 | 36 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Köttmannsdorf | Wolfsberg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 80% | 89% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 50% | 79% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 30% | 53% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 15% | 21% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 11% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Köttmannsdorf | Wolfsberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Köttmannsdorf | Wolfsberg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Köttmannsdorf | Wolfsberg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-1 | 2-5 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Köttmannsdorf | Wolfsberg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 28% | 72% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 33.7% | 66.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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