Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 • Goldeckstadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 2.02) 2.12 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.2% 19.3% 65.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.9%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
St. Veit / Glan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spittal 0 5.3% 11.3% 11.9% 8.4% 4.5% 1.9%
1 4.3% 9.2% 9.7% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5%
2 1.8% 3.7% 4.0% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6%
3 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Spittal +39.1, St. Veit / Glan -25.4.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Spittal Elo 1457.6 · +39.1
vs
St. Veit / Glan Elo 1495.1 · -25.4
Elo gapSt. Veit / Glan +3
Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%
Expected home share50%
Combined Elo2952.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2952.7
Elo home share 50%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Spittal St. Veit / Glan
Overall Elo1457.61495.1
Form Elo1479.71480.4
Home / Away Elo1457.61495.6
Attack Elo1486.71571.6
Defense Elo14111442.8
Last 5 Elo change+39.1-25.4

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Spittal last-5 Elo change: +39.1; St. Veit / Glan last-5 Elo change: -25.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpittalSt. Veit / Glan
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack19%52%
Defense86%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spittal St. Veit / Glan
HATHAT
Played10102091019
Wins20%30%25%44%40%42%
Draws40%10%25%11%30%21%
Loses40%60%50%44%30%37%
SpittalLLDLLDLLWDLDLLWDLWWW
St. Veit / GlanDWLLWDWWWLDLDWLWLLW

League goals

Metric Spittal St. Veit / Glan
HATHAT
GF total11819161632
GF avg1.10.81.01.81.61.7
GA total181735121527
GA avg1.81.71.81.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpittalSt. Veit / Glan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%75%79%68%
1.520%55%47%42%
2.55%35%32%16%
3.55%10%11%11%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpittalSt. Veit / Glan
HATHAT
Clean sheets325336
Failed to score347314

Penalties

MetricSpittalSt. Veit / Glan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSpittalSt. Veit / Glan
Wins13
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-24-01-4
Biggest losses0-34-10-35-1
Goals For4244
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricSpittalSt. Veit / Glan
Form63%38%
Att27%73%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h0%100%
Goals17%83%
Total43.4%56.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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