Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
Sportplatz SV Dellach/Gail
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 2.02)
1.18 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.1% | 20.4% | 20.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| TSU Matrei | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dellach im Gailtal | 0 | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Dellach im Gailtal carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 62 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dellach im Gailtal +4.9, TSU Matrei -53.9.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Dellach im Gailtal
vs
TSU Matrei
Elo gapDellach im Gailtal +62
Home / draw / away45% / 23% / 32%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo2952.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2952.5
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Dellach im Gailtal | TSU Matrei |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1489.6 | 1462.9 |
| Form Elo | 1500.3 | 1435 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1501.9 | 1479 |
| Attack Elo | 1571.1 | 1472.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1442 | 1463.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +4.9 | -53.9 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Dellach im Gailtal last-5 Elo change: +4.9; TSU Matrei last-5 Elo change: -53.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dellach im Gailtal | TSU Matrei |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 7% |
| Attack | 38% | 14% |
| Defense | 62% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dellach im Gailtal | TSU Matrei | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 50% | 11% | 32% | 55% | 20% | 38% |
| Draws | 10% | 56% | 32% | 27% | 20% | 24% |
| Loses | 40% | 33% | 37% | 18% | 60% | 38% |
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TSU MatreiLWLWWDWDWLWWDLDWLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Dellach im Gailtal | TSU Matrei | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 11 | 35 | 22 | 8 | 30 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 20 | 16 | 36 | 10 | 18 | 28 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dellach im Gailtal | TSU Matrei | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 79% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 53% | 43% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 32% | 24% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 21% | 5% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dellach im Gailtal | TSU Matrei | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dellach im Gailtal | TSU Matrei |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dellach im Gailtal | TSU Matrei |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-2 | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dellach im Gailtal | TSU Matrei |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 90% | 10% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 72.5% | 27.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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