Fri, May 1 2026 • 15:00 •
ATSV Arena
Expected Goals
2.17 (league 2.01)
1.15 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.3% | 20.1% | 19.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Donau Klagenfurt | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wolfsberg | 0 | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Wolfsberg carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 86 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Wolfsberg +33.7, Donau Klagenfurt -12.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Wolfsberg
vs
Donau Klagenfurt
Elo gapWolfsberg +86
Home / draw / away49% / 20% / 31%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo3066.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3066.1
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Wolfsberg | Donau Klagenfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1558.4 | 1507.7 |
| Form Elo | 1590.2 | 1507.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1548.7 | 1489.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1677.4 | 1548 |
| Defense Elo | 1429.8 | 1487.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +33.7 | -12.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Wolfsberg last-5 Elo change: +33.7; Donau Klagenfurt last-5 Elo change: -12.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Wolfsberg | Donau Klagenfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 62% | 33% |
| Defense | 71% | 52% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Wolfsberg | Donau Klagenfurt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 78% | 50% | 63% | 60% | 45% | 52% |
| Draws | 0% | 30% | 16% | 30% | 18% | 24% |
| Loses | 22% | 20% | 21% | 10% | 36% | 24% |
WolfsbergWWWWLWLDLWWWWDWWWDL
Donau KlagenfurtWWWDDWDDLWWDWWLWLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Wolfsberg | Donau Klagenfurt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 23 | 49 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| GF avg | 2.9 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 9 | 13 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Wolfsberg | Donau Klagenfurt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 63% | 81% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 79% | 26% | 57% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 53% | 11% | 29% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 11% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Wolfsberg | Donau Klagenfurt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Wolfsberg | Donau Klagenfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Wolfsberg | Donau Klagenfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-6 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Wolfsberg | Donau Klagenfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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