Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:30 • ELK-Arena
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.75) 2.04 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.6% 21.3% 45.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.6%
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Kilb
0 1 2 3 4 5
Schrems 0 2.5% 5.2% 5.3% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
1 4.2% 8.5% 8.6% 5.9% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.4% 6.9% 7.0% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0%
3 1.8% 3.8% 3.8% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Schrems -45.2, Kilb -29.1.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Schrems Elo 1446 · -45.2
vs
Kilb Elo 1463.6 · -29.1
Elo gapSchrems +17
Home / draw / away38% / 28% / 34%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo2909.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2909.6
Elo home share 53%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Schrems Kilb
Overall Elo14461463.6
Form Elo1411.31437
Home / Away Elo1486.91500.8
Attack Elo1486.51603.9
Defense Elo1333.31417.7
Last 5 Elo change-45.2-29.1

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Schrems last-5 Elo change: -45.2; Kilb last-5 Elo change: -29.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSchremsKilb
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack85%38%
Defense15%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Schrems Kilb
HATHAT
Played101121101020
Wins10%9%10%20%10%15%
Draws10%18%14%40%20%30%
Loses80%73%76%40%70%55%
SchremsLLLLLDLLLLWLLLLLDLWLD
KilbLDDLDDLWLDWWLLLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Schrems Kilb
HATHAT
GF total11920181129
GF avg1.10.81.01.81.11.5
GA total253661212647
GA avg2.53.32.92.12.62.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSchremsKilb
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%95%70%85%
1.529%86%50%60%
2.514%52%15%45%
3.55%33%5%25%
4.50%14%5%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSchremsKilb
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score3811246

Penalties

MetricSchremsKilb
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSchremsKilb
Wins12
Draws12
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-45-01-2
Biggest losses1-47-00-57-0
Goals For3453
Goals Against4757

Model comparison

MetricSchremsKilb
Form83%17%
Att69%31%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h40%60%
Goals35%65%
Total54.0%46.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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