Sun, May 3 2026 • 14:30 •
Stadion Alte Au
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.75)
2.40 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.6% | 17.2% | 66.6% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.4%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Ebreichsdorf | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stockerau | 0 | 3.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Stockerau +38.4, Ebreichsdorf +12.8.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Stockerau
vs
Ebreichsdorf
Elo gapEbreichsdorf +1
Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%
Expected home share50%
Combined Elo2998.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2998.7
Elo home share
50%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Stockerau | Ebreichsdorf |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1481.3 | 1517.4 |
| Form Elo | 1499.5 | 1525.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1484.4 | 1493.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1466.9 | 1548.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1437 | 1471.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +38.4 | +12.8 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Stockerau last-5 Elo change: +38.4; Ebreichsdorf last-5 Elo change: +12.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stockerau | Ebreichsdorf |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 80% |
| Attack | 47% | 100% |
| Defense | 40% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stockerau | Ebreichsdorf | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 10% | 30% | 20% | 55% | 40% | 48% |
| Draws | 30% | 10% | 20% | 36% | 10% | 24% |
| Loses | 60% | 60% | 60% | 9% | 50% | 29% |
StockerauLDLLLLWLDWWLLLDLLDLW
EbreichsdorfLDLWLDWLDWWWDWDLWWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Stockerau | Ebreichsdorf | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 13 | 20 | 28 | 18 | 46 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 18 | 19 | 37 | 10 | 23 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stockerau | Ebreichsdorf | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 75% | 81% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 55% | 62% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 35% | 33% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 24% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stockerau | Ebreichsdorf | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stockerau | Ebreichsdorf |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stockerau | Ebreichsdorf |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stockerau | Ebreichsdorf |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 38.7% | 61.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…