Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.82) 0.90 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.1% 24.1% 20.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Union Vöcklamarkt
0 1 2 3 4 5
Weißkirchen / Allhaming 0 7.5% 6.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.7% 11.4% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.0% 5.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Weißkirchen / Allhaming carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 113 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Weißkirchen / Allhaming +47.8, Union Vöcklamarkt -3.3.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Weißkirchen / Allhaming Elo 1530.6 · +47.8
vs
Union Vöcklamarkt Elo 1452.3 · -3.3
Elo gapWeißkirchen / Allhaming +113
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo2982.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2982.9
Elo home share 66%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Weißkirchen / Allhaming Union Vöcklamarkt
Overall Elo1530.61452.3
Form Elo1556.11441.1
Home / Away Elo1510.41481.3
Attack Elo1557.31499.7
Defense Elo1475.21434.3
Last 5 Elo change+47.8-3.3

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Weißkirchen / Allhaming last-5 Elo change: +47.8; Union Vöcklamarkt last-5 Elo change: -3.3.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWeißkirchen / AllhamingUnion Vöcklamarkt
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack71%43%
Defense86%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Weißkirchen / Allhaming Union Vöcklamarkt
HATHAT
Played121022131023
Wins58%30%45%46%30%39%
Draws25%30%27%31%20%26%
Loses17%40%27%23%50%35%
Weißkirchen / AllhamingDLDWLWLWLWLLDWDWDWWDWW
Union VöcklamarktLWWLWDLWWDWLDWLWLDDDLWL

League goals

Metric Weißkirchen / Allhaming Union Vöcklamarkt
HATHAT
GF total221537251136
GF avg1.81.51.71.91.11.6
GA total141428161733
GA avg1.21.41.31.21.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWeißkirchen / AllhamingUnion Vöcklamarkt
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%73%74%78%
1.541%27%43%39%
2.527%14%13%26%
3.514%5%13%0%
4.55%5%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWeißkirchen / AllhamingUnion Vöcklamarkt
HATHAT
Clean sheets516235
Failed to score134246

Penalties

MetricWeißkirchen / AllhamingUnion Vöcklamarkt
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWeißkirchen / AllhamingUnion Vöcklamarkt
Wins22
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-57-13-4
Biggest losses0-63-00-33-0
Goals For4574
Goals Against6333

Model comparison

MetricWeißkirchen / AllhamingUnion Vöcklamarkt
Form72%28%
Att63%38%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total62.0%38.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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