Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadion Grödig
Expected Goals
2.36 (league 2.10)
1.43 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.8% | 19.3% | 22.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
7.6%
3 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| UFC Hallein | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grödig | 0 | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Grödig carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 96 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Grödig +43.6, UFC Hallein +25.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Grödig
vs
UFC Hallein
Elo gapGrödig +96
Home / draw / away51% / 19% / 30%
Expected home share63%
Combined Elo3223.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3223.8
Elo home share
63%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Grödig | UFC Hallein |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1642.2 | 1581.6 |
| Form Elo | 1664.7 | 1616 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1548.5 | 1516.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1809.1 | 1725.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1616.5 | 1507.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +43.6 | +25.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Grödig last-5 Elo change: +43.6; UFC Hallein last-5 Elo change: +25.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Grödig | UFC Hallein |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 80% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 75% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 20 | 4 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
82%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Grödig | UFC Hallein | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 78% | 90% | 84% | 91% | 67% | 80% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 10% |
| Loses | 22% | 10% | 16% | 9% | 11% | 10% |
GrödigWWWWWLWLWWLWWWWWWWW
UFC HalleinWDWWWWLDWWWWWWWWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Grödig | UFC Hallein | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 36 | 64 | 33 | 24 | 57 |
| GF avg | 3.1 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| GA total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 23 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Grödig | UFC Hallein | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 42% | 95% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 74% | 21% | 90% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 58% | 0% | 65% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 0% | 20% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 37% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Grödig | UFC Hallein | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Grödig | UFC Hallein |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Grödig | UFC Hallein |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-7 | 6-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-4 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Grödig | UFC Hallein |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.7% | 48.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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