Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Haunsbergarena
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 2.10)
3.58 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.6% | 12.3% | 60.3% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.1%
1 - 4
6.3%
1 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Union Henndorf | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Anthering | 0 | 0.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Anthering +32.7, Union Henndorf +4.6.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Anthering
vs
Union Henndorf
Elo gapUnion Henndorf +9
Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%
Expected home share49%
Combined Elo2936.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2936.1
Elo home share
49%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Anthering | Union Henndorf |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1446 | 1490.1 |
| Form Elo | 1444.9 | 1486.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1464.8 | 1491.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1483.5 | 1553 |
| Defense Elo | 1356 | 1458.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +32.7 | +4.6 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Anthering last-5 Elo change: +32.7; Union Henndorf last-5 Elo change: +4.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Anthering | Union Henndorf |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 63% | 63% |
| Defense | 63% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
61%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Anthering | Union Henndorf | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 30% | 20% | 25% | 33% | 40% | 37% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 0% | 5% |
| Loses | 70% | 60% | 65% | 56% | 60% | 58% |
AntheringLLLLWWLLLLLLLLDWWLDW
Union HenndorfLWWWLLWLLLLDWLLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Anthering | Union Henndorf | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 11 | 27 | 16 | 19 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 32 | 27 | 59 | 19 | 20 | 39 |
| GA avg | 3.2 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Anthering | Union Henndorf | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 100% | 84% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 70% | 53% | 68% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 55% | 32% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 45% | 16% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Anthering | Union Henndorf | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Anthering | Union Henndorf |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Anthering | Union Henndorf |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-3 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-7 | 6-0 | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Anthering | Union Henndorf |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 45.2% | 55.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
