Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:00 •
ROTH Handwerker Stadion Gnas
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 2.16)
2.49 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.7% | 18.6% | 55.1% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.6%
1 - 3
7.1%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Allerheiligen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gnas | 0 | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Allerheiligen carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 56 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Gnas -21.3, Allerheiligen +26.3.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Gnas
vs
Allerheiligen
Elo gapAllerheiligen +56
Home / draw / away32% / 24% / 44%
Expected home share42%
Combined Elo2996.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2996.7
Elo home share
42%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Gnas | Allerheiligen |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1453.1 | 1543.6 |
| Form Elo | 1434.3 | 1552.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1492 | 1505.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1492.8 | 1678.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1458.4 | 1346.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -21.3 | +26.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Gnas last-5 Elo change: -21.3; Allerheiligen last-5 Elo change: +26.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gnas | Allerheiligen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 16% | 63% |
| Defense | 74% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gnas | Allerheiligen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 18% | 18% | 18% | 55% | 40% | 48% |
| Draws | 45% | 18% | 32% | 36% | 30% | 33% |
| Loses | 36% | 64% | 50% | 9% | 30% | 19% |
GnasDDLLLLDLWLDWLDWLDLWLLD
AllerheiligenDDDWWDWWDWWWLDLLLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Gnas | Allerheiligen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 11 | 31 | 25 | 18 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 23 | 20 | 43 | 10 | 18 | 28 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gnas | Allerheiligen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 91% | 90% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 55% | 52% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 32% | 29% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 24% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gnas | Allerheiligen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gnas | Allerheiligen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gnas | Allerheiligen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 3-4 | 5-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-6 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gnas | Allerheiligen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 33.0% | 67.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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