Fri, May 1 2026 • 17:00 •
Sportanlage Allerheiligen
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 2.15)
1.04 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.8% | 24.9% | 24.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Köflach | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Allerheiligen | 0 | 7.1% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Allerheiligen carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 116 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Allerheiligen +53.7, Köflach -22.7.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Allerheiligen
vs
Köflach
Elo gapAllerheiligen +116
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo3033.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3033.9
Elo home share
66%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Allerheiligen | Köflach |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1557.2 | 1476.7 |
| Form Elo | 1572.4 | 1465.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1535 | 1532.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1714.3 | 1535.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1355.9 | 1442.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +53.7 | -22.7 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Allerheiligen last-5 Elo change: +53.7; Köflach last-5 Elo change: -22.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Allerheiligen | Köflach |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 40% |
| Attack | 65% | 31% |
| Defense | 77% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Allerheiligen | Köflach | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 55% | 45% | 50% | 8% | 36% | 22% |
| Draws | 36% | 27% | 32% | 42% | 36% | 39% |
| Loses | 9% | 27% | 18% | 50% | 27% | 39% |
AllerheiligenDDDWWDWWDWWWLDLLLDWWWW
KöflachWLDLDLDDDDLWLDLDDWLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Allerheiligen | Köflach | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 23 | 48 | 16 | 20 | 36 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 10 | 19 | 29 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Allerheiligen | Köflach | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 77% | 87% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 32% | 35% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 14% | 17% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 9% | 9% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Allerheiligen | Köflach | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Allerheiligen | Köflach |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Allerheiligen | Köflach |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-5 | 6-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-1 | 1-4 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Allerheiligen | Köflach |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 68% | 32% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 67.5% | 32.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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