Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Gernot Langes Stadion
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.92)
0.77 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.0% | 20.7% | 13.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.8%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Volders | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Swarovski Tirol II | 0 | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Swarovski Tirol II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 224 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Swarovski Tirol II +32.5, Volders -55.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Swarovski Tirol II
vs
Volders
Elo gapSwarovski Tirol II +224
Home / draw / away64% / 18% / 18%
Expected home share78%
Combined Elo2996.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2996.9
Elo home share
78%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Swarovski Tirol II | Volders |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1592.8 | 1404.1 |
| Form Elo | 1616.7 | 1372.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1517.3 | 1461.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1696.7 | 1463.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1581.1 | 1341.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +32.5 | -55.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Swarovski Tirol II last-5 Elo change: +32.5; Volders last-5 Elo change: -55.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Swarovski Tirol II | Volders |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 0% |
| Attack | 89% | 17% |
| Defense | 78% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Swarovski Tirol II | Volders | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 38% | 80% | 61% | 22% | 13% | 18% |
| Draws | 38% | 20% | 28% | 33% | 13% | 24% |
| Loses | 25% | 0% | 11% | 44% | 75% | 59% |
Swarovski Tirol IIWDDWLWWWLWDWWWWWDD
VoldersWDDLLLDDWLWLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Swarovski Tirol II | Volders | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 27 | 37 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Swarovski Tirol II | Volders | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 61% | 65% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 11% | 35% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 6% | 12% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 12% | 35% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 18% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Swarovski Tirol II | Volders | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Swarovski Tirol II | Volders |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Swarovski Tirol II | Volders |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-8 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 2-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Swarovski Tirol II | Volders |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 84% | 16% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 74.4% | 25.6% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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