Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 • Gernot Langes Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.92) 0.77 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.0% 20.7% 13.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.8%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Volders
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swarovski Tirol II 0 6.5% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.8% 9.8% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Swarovski Tirol II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 224 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Swarovski Tirol II +32.5, Volders -55.0.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Swarovski Tirol II Elo 1592.8 · +32.5
vs
Volders Elo 1404.1 · -55.0
Elo gapSwarovski Tirol II +224
Home / draw / away64% / 18% / 18%
Expected home share78%
Combined Elo2996.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2996.9
Elo home share 78%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Swarovski Tirol II Volders
Overall Elo1592.81404.1
Form Elo1616.71372.2
Home / Away Elo1517.31461.2
Attack Elo1696.71463.7
Defense Elo1581.11341.2
Last 5 Elo change+32.5-55.0

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Swarovski Tirol II last-5 Elo change: +32.5; Volders last-5 Elo change: -55.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwarovski Tirol IIVolders
Played55
Form73%0%
Attack89%17%
Defense78%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.814 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swarovski Tirol II Volders
HATHAT
Played810189817
Wins38%80%61%22%13%18%
Draws38%20%28%33%13%24%
Loses25%0%11%44%75%59%
Swarovski Tirol IIWDDWLWWWLWDWWWWWDD
VoldersWDDLLLDDWLWLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Swarovski Tirol II Volders
HATHAT
GF total102737111021
GF avg1.32.72.11.21.31.2
GA total8614162339
GA avg1.00.60.81.82.92.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwarovski Tirol IIVolders
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%61%65%76%
1.544%11%35%53%
2.539%6%12%41%
3.517%0%12%35%
4.56%0%0%18%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwarovski Tirol IIVolders
HATHAT
Clean sheets167314
Failed to score213336

Penalties

MetricSwarovski Tirol IIVolders
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSwarovski Tirol IIVolders
Wins51
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-82-00-1
Biggest losses0-1—2-55-0
Goals For3844
Goals Against2356

Model comparison

MetricSwarovski Tirol IIVolders
Form100%0%
Att84%16%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total74.4%25.6%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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