Not Started
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.97) 2.34 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.7% 17.3% 67.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.4%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Völs
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oberperfuss 0 4.2% 9.7% 11.4% 8.9% 5.2% 2.4%
1 3.5% 8.2% 9.6% 7.5% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.5% 3.4% 4.0% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away edge

Völs carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 72 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Oberperfuss -4.2, Völs -14.4.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Oberperfuss Elo 1433.3 · -4.2
vs
Völs Elo 1539.8 · -14.4
Elo gapVöls +72
Home / draw / away31% / 22% / 47%
Expected home share40%
Combined Elo2973.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2973.1
Elo home share 40%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Oberperfuss Völs
Overall Elo1433.31539.8
Form Elo1420.91543.1
Home / Away Elo1458.11514.1
Attack Elo1475.11574.1
Defense Elo1356.71519
Last 5 Elo change-4.2-14.4

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Oberperfuss last-5 Elo change: -4.2; Völs last-5 Elo change: -14.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOberperfussVöls
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack32%21%
Defense43%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)16 | 3.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oberperfuss Völs
HATHAT
Played108189918
Wins30%38%33%44%44%44%
Draws10%13%11%33%44%39%
Loses60%50%56%22%11%17%
OberperfussWWDDLLLWWLLLLLLLWW
VölsDDDWWLWWWDDWLDWDWL

League goals

Metric Oberperfuss Völs
HATHAT
GF total151631161430
GF avg1.52.01.71.81.61.7
GA total251742121022
GA avg2.52.12.31.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOberperfussVöls
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%100%89%83%
1.539%67%44%33%
2.533%33%17%6%
3.522%11%11%0%
4.56%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOberperfussVöls
HATHAT
Clean sheets000123
Failed to score325112

Penalties

MetricOberperfussVöls
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOberperfussVöls
Wins23
Draws23
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-45-12-4
Biggest losses0-84-11-32-0
Goals For4554
Goals Against8432

Model comparison

MetricOberperfussVöls
Form43%57%
Att60%40%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h0%100%
Goals18%82%
Total34.6%65.4%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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