Sat, May 2 2026 • 15:00 •
Sportplatz Telfs Emat
Expected Goals
4.25 (league 1.97)
1.29 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
best score tips
4 - 1
6.9%
3 - 1
6.5%
5 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Silz / Mötz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Telfs | 0 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Telfs carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 99 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Telfs +24.7, Silz / Mötz -24.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Telfs
vs
Silz / Mötz
Elo gapTelfs +99
Home / draw / away52% / 19% / 29%
Expected home share64%
Combined Elo2903.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2903.1
Elo home share
64%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Telfs | Silz / Mötz |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1483.7 | 1419.4 |
| Form Elo | 1490.3 | 1398.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1510.8 | 1452.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1585.3 | 1544.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1393.1 | 1229.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +24.7 | -24.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Telfs last-5 Elo change: +24.7; Silz / Mötz last-5 Elo change: -24.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Telfs | Silz / Mötz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Attack | 54% | 39% |
| Defense | 82% | 39% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 17 | 3.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
84%
FT probability
3.5+
60%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Telfs | Silz / Mötz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 44% | 33% | 39% | 50% | 11% | 32% |
| Draws | 11% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Loses | 44% | 67% | 56% | 40% | 89% | 63% |
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Silz / MötzWLLWWLWLDLWLLLLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Telfs | Silz / Mötz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 10 | 34 | 23 | 12 | 35 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 15 | 18 | 33 | 20 | 28 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Telfs | Silz / Mötz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 72% | 84% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 50% | 37% | 68% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 44% | 26% | 53% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 16% | 42% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 6% | 16% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Telfs | Silz / Mötz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Telfs | Silz / Mötz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Telfs | Silz / Mötz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Telfs | Silz / Mötz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 63.7% | 36.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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