Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
Sportplatz Fc Langenegg
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.94)
2.27 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5% | 17.3% | 69.3% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.7%
0 - 1
11.2%
0 - 3
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Ludesch | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rotenberg | 0 | 4.9% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Rotenberg carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 47 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Rotenberg -13.0, Ludesch -29.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Rotenberg
vs
Ludesch
Elo gapRotenberg +47
Home / draw / away43% / 25% / 32%
Expected home share57%
Combined Elo3005.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3005.9
Elo home share
57%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Rotenberg | Ludesch |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1509.1 | 1496.8 |
| Form Elo | 1498.5 | 1498.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1498.2 | 1500.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1566.6 | 1534.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1386.3 | 1436.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -13.0 | -29.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Rotenberg last-5 Elo change: -13.0; Ludesch last-5 Elo change: -29.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rotenberg | Ludesch |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 47% | 20% |
| Defense | 40% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rotenberg | Ludesch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 13% | 29% | 20% | 38% | 43% | 40% |
| Draws | 38% | 29% | 33% | 13% | 29% | 20% |
| Loses | 50% | 43% | 47% | 50% | 29% | 40% |
RotenbergLDLLDLWWLDDLLDW
LudeschWLDLDWWLWWWDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Rotenberg | Ludesch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 8 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 19 | 10 | 29 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| GA avg | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rotenberg | Ludesch | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 53% | 53% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 33% | 13% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rotenberg | Ludesch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rotenberg | Ludesch |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rotenberg | Ludesch |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-6 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rotenberg | Ludesch |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 44.3% | 55.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…