Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
Sportplatz WAF Gruabn
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.68)
0.87 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.9% | 29.9% | 27.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Mauerwerk | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vorwärts Brigittenau | 0 | 12.8% | 11.2% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Vorwärts Brigittenau carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 107 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Vorwärts Brigittenau -59.1, Mauerwerk -36.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Vorwärts Brigittenau
vs
Mauerwerk
Elo gapVorwärts Brigittenau +107
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share65%
Combined Elo2778.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2778.1
Elo home share
65%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Vorwärts Brigittenau | Mauerwerk |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1425.2 | 1352.9 |
| Form Elo | 1390.9 | 1314.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1494.2 | 1452 |
| Attack Elo | 1426.5 | 1376.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1358.7 | 1244.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -59.1 | -36.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Vorwärts Brigittenau last-5 Elo change: -59.1; Mauerwerk last-5 Elo change: -36.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vorwärts Brigittenau | Mauerwerk |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 7% |
| Attack | 30% | 20% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 17 | 3.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vorwärts Brigittenau | Mauerwerk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 45% | 9% | 27% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Draws | 9% | 18% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
| Loses | 45% | 73% | 59% | 50% | 80% | 64% |
Vorwärts BrigittenauDLWLWLWDLLLWLWWLDLLLLL
MauerwerkWDWLLLLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Vorwärts Brigittenau | Mauerwerk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 20 | 30 | 50 | 15 | 9 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vorwärts Brigittenau | Mauerwerk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 77% | 27% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 64% | 27% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 45% | 9% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 27% | 9% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vorwärts Brigittenau | Mauerwerk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vorwärts Brigittenau | Mauerwerk |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vorwärts Brigittenau | Mauerwerk |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 6-0 | 0-7 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vorwärts Brigittenau | Mauerwerk |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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