Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
Slovanplatz Hütteldorf
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.68)
0.48 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2% | 20.7% | 9.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
2 - 0
16.6%
3 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Simmeringer SC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Slovan HAC | 0 | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.0% | 8.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.6% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Slovan HAC carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 77 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Slovan HAC +23.8, Simmeringer SC -10.4.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Slovan HAC
vs
Simmeringer SC
Elo gapSlovan HAC +77
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo2829.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2829.9
Elo home share
61%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Slovan HAC | Simmeringer SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1436 | 1393.9 |
| Form Elo | 1447.1 | 1380.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1468.1 | 1460 |
| Attack Elo | 1490 | 1437.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1315.7 | 1319.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +23.8 | -10.4 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Slovan HAC last-5 Elo change: +23.8; Simmeringer SC last-5 Elo change: -10.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Slovan HAC | Simmeringer SC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 90% | 30% |
| Defense | 40% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Slovan HAC | Simmeringer SC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 40% | 20% | 30% | 36% | 0% | 19% |
| Draws | 20% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 40% | 29% |
| Loses | 40% | 70% | 55% | 45% | 60% | 52% |
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Simmeringer SCLDLWLWLLDWDLLDLLLLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Slovan HAC | Simmeringer SC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 14 | 22 | 36 | 22 | 22 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Slovan HAC | Simmeringer SC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 57% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 60% | 29% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 35% | 10% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 5% | 0% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Slovan HAC | Simmeringer SC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Slovan HAC | Simmeringer SC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Slovan HAC | Simmeringer SC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-4 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | 1-7 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Slovan HAC | Simmeringer SC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 66.3% | 33.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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