Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
Franz Koci Anlage
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.68)
1.16 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.9% | 19.6% | 18.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Austria XIII | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| 1980 Wien | 0 | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Austria XIII carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 54 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: 1980 Wien -24.0, Austria XIII +21.6.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
1980 Wien
vs
Austria XIII
Elo gapAustria XIII +54
Home / draw / away32% / 24% / 44%
Expected home share42%
Combined Elo3001.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3001.8
Elo home share
42%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | 1980 Wien | Austria XIII |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1456.4 | 1545.4 |
| Form Elo | 1455.4 | 1557.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1471.3 | 1536 |
| Attack Elo | 1518.1 | 1553.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1332.6 | 1525.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -24.0 | +21.6 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. 1980 Wien last-5 Elo change: -24.0; Austria XIII last-5 Elo change: +21.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | 1980 Wien | Austria XIII |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 90% | 60% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | 1980 Wien | Austria XIII | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 40% | 56% | 47% | 60% | 27% | 43% |
| Draws | 40% | 33% | 37% | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Loses | 20% | 11% | 16% | 0% | 45% | 24% |
1980 WienDWWDWWDWWDWDWDLLLWD
Austria XIIILWLWWWLDWDWWLDDWDWDLD
League goals
| Metric | 1980 Wien | Austria XIII | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 22 | 44 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 14 | 19 | 33 | 9 | 19 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | 1980 Wien | Austria XIII | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 95% | 89% | 81% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 68% | 42% | 52% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 26% | 24% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 11% | 5% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | 1980 Wien | Austria XIII | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | 1980 Wien | Austria XIII |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | 1980 Wien | Austria XIII |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 5-0 | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | 1980 Wien | Austria XIII |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 24% | 76% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 34% | 66% |
| Total | 41.8% | 58.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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