Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 02:00 •
Estadio Francisco Zarco
Expected Goals
3.27 (league 1.54)
1.35 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.7%
2 - 1
7.1%
4 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Tritons Vallarta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Durango | 0 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Durango | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 60% |
| Defense | 70% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Durango | Tritons Vallarta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 9 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Wins | 67% | 89% | 80% | 78% | 50% | 67% |
| Draws | 17% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 17% | 11% | 13% | 22% | 50% | 33% |
DurangoWWLWWWLWWWWDWWW
Tritons VallartaWWWWLLWWLWLLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Durango | Tritons Vallarta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 28 | 45 | 16 | 8 | 24 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Durango | Tritons Vallarta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 60% | 80% | 47% |
| 1.5 | 73% | 13% | 47% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 53% | 7% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Durango | Tritons Vallarta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Durango | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Durango | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-6 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Durango | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 65.3% | 34.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.28 @ Betano
Draw5.50 @ Betfair
Away10.80 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.40 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ Superbet
No1.82 @ Unibet
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League standings
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