Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.61 (league 1.47) 0.77 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.8% 14.6% 8.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.6%
3 - 0
10.1%
1 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
UTC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Garcilaso 0 3.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.9% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.6% 8.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.1% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.6% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo GarcilasoUTC
Played55
Form60%13%
Attack57%29%
Defense57%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Garcilaso UTC
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins50%38%44%21%15%19%
Draws21%38%30%29%23%26%
Loses29%23%26%50%62%56%

Form: Deportivo Garcilaso: DWWWDWWLWLLLLWLWDLWDWDDWDWD • UTC: LLDDLWWLLWLWLLWDLDLDLLDDLLL

League goals

Metric Deportivo Garcilaso UTC
HATHAT
GF total231942121123
GF avg1.61.51.60.90.80.9
GA total121527173148
GA avg0.91.21.01.22.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo GarcilasoUTC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%67%56%78%
1.548%22%22%48%
2.522%11%4%22%
3.511%0%4%15%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo GarcilasoUTC
HATHAT
Clean sheets459426
Failed to score3477512

Penalties

MetricDeportivo GarcilasoUTC
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricDeportivo GarcilasoUTC
Wins32
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-11-2
Biggest losses1-33-20-46-0
Goals For4442
Goals Against3346

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo GarcilasoUTC
Form82%18%
Att67%33%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Winner : Deportivo Garcilaso

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.51 @ 1xBet
Draw4.20 @ Marathonbet
Away6.55 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Garcilaso = 2.61 (league 1.47), UTC = 0.77 (league 0.94)

UTC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Garcilaso 0 3.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.9% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.6% 8.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.1% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.6% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.8% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 8.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1