Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Heraclio Tapia León
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.47) 1.76 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.5% 23.3% 56.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 1
11.1%
0 - 2
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sport Boys
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Universidad 0 6.8% 12.0% 10.6% 6.2% 2.7% 1.0%
1 6.3% 11.1% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 2.9% 5.1% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza UniversidadSport Boys
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack50%40%
Defense20%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Universidad Sport Boys
HATHAT
Played131427141428
Wins15%21%19%36%7%21%
Draws31%14%22%21%36%29%
Loses54%64%59%43%57%50%

Form: Alianza Universidad: DLLLDLLWDLLLDDLLWLLLWLDWWLL • Sport Boys: WLWDLLDWDDWLLLWDLLLLDWLLLLDD

League goals

Metric Alianza Universidad Sport Boys
HATHAT
GF total111425161531
GF avg0.81.00.91.11.11.1
GA total192948172441
GA avg1.52.11.81.21.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza UniversidadSport Boys
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%81%61%86%
1.530%56%29%46%
2.54%30%14%11%
3.50%11%7%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza UniversidadSport Boys
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score65115611

Penalties

MetricAlianza UniversidadSport Boys
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total07

Streaks

MetricAlianza UniversidadSport Boys
Wins21
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-20-4
Biggest losses0-34-00-24-0
Goals For2344
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricAlianza UniversidadSport Boys
Form78%22%
Att56%44%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza Universidad or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away4.30 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza Universidad = 0.92 (league 1.47), Sport Boys = 1.76 (league 0.94)

Sport Boys
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Universidad 0 6.8% 12.0% 10.6% 6.2% 2.7% 1.0%
1 6.3% 11.1% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 2.9% 5.1% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.5% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 56.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1