Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:15 • Estadio Municipal Unión de Tarma
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.47) 0.94 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.7% 28.2% 26.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Atletico
0 1 2 3 4 5
ADT 0 10.6% 10.0% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.8% 13.0% 6.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.5% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricADTAlianza Atletico
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack80%50%
Defense20%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ADT Alianza Atletico
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins50%23%37%71%23%48%
Draws36%15%26%14%23%19%
Loses14%62%37%14%54%33%

Form: ADT: DWWDLWLDWWLDLLLDDWWLLWLDLWW • Alianza Atletico: LWLWDLLWWWWWWWLWLWDDDLWLLDW

League goals

Metric ADT Alianza Atletico
HATHAT
GF total221234241034
GF avg1.60.91.31.70.81.3
GA total16264281523
GA avg1.12.01.60.61.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineADTAlianza Atletico
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%74%67%52%
1.537%52%41%22%
2.515%19%15%7%
3.54%7%4%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricADTAlianza Atletico
HATHAT
Clean sheets5279413
Failed to score358369

Penalties

MetricADTAlianza Atletico
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricADTAlianza Atletico
Wins27
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-10-2
Biggest losses0-35-02-42-0
Goals For4342
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricADTAlianza Atletico
Form50%50%
Att62%38%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : ADT or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away5.50 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ADT = 1.30 (league 1.47), Alianza Atletico = 0.94 (league 0.94)

Alianza Atletico
0 1 2 3 4 5
ADT 0 10.6% 10.0% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.8% 13.0% 6.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.5% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 26.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1