Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.46) 1.67 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.0% 24.3% 55.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 1
11.5%
0 - 2
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
FBC Melgar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Comerciantes Unidos 0 7.8% 12.9% 10.8% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.1% 5.1% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricComerciantes UnidosFBC Melgar
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack46%92%
Defense46%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Comerciantes Unidos FBC Melgar
HATHAT
Played131427141428
Wins15%21%19%50%29%39%
Draws46%7%26%21%57%39%
Loses38%71%56%29%14%21%

Form: Comerciantes Unidos: DLDLDWLLDDLLLLWLLLLDLDWLWWL • FBC Melgar: WWWWWWLLDDWDDWDLDDWLDDLWDLDW

League goals

Metric Comerciantes Unidos FBC Melgar
HATHAT
GF total131427251843
GF avg1.01.01.01.81.31.5
GA total162945141832
GA avg1.22.11.71.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineComerciantes UnidosFBC Melgar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%81%86%82%
1.530%48%39%25%
2.54%26%14%4%
3.50%11%7%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricComerciantes UnidosFBC Melgar
HATHAT
Clean sheets325325
Failed to score459224

Penalties

MetricComerciantes UnidosFBC Melgar
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricComerciantes UnidosFBC Melgar
Wins26
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-26-12-3
Biggest losses0-44-00-24-1
Goals For3263
Goals Against4424

Model comparison

MetricComerciantes UnidosFBC Melgar
Form53%47%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total38.2%61.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FBC Melgar

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.50 @ William Hill
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away1.92 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ William Hill
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Comerciantes Unidos = 0.89 (league 1.46), FBC Melgar = 1.67 (league 0.94)

FBC Melgar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Comerciantes Unidos 0 7.8% 12.9% 10.8% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.1% 5.1% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.0% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 55.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1