Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 20:00 •
Estadio Miguel Grau
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.47)
1.28 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.5% | 24.7% | 31.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Comerciantes Unidos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sport Boys | 0 | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sport Boys | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 44% | 31% |
| Defense | 50% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sport Boys | Comerciantes Unidos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 36% | 13% | 24% | 14% | 21% | 18% |
| Draws | 21% | 33% | 28% | 50% | 7% | 29% |
| Loses | 43% | 53% | 48% | 36% | 71% | 54% |
Form: Sport Boys: WLWDLLDWDDWLLLWDLLLLDWLLLLDDW • Comerciantes Unidos: DLDLDWLLDDLLLLWLLLLDLDWLWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Sport Boys | Comerciantes Unidos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 18 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 17 | 26 | 43 | 17 | 29 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sport Boys | Comerciantes Unidos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 86% | 68% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 48% | 29% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 10% | 4% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 3% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sport Boys | Comerciantes Unidos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sport Boys | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 8 | 88.89% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 11.11% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 9 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sport Boys | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sport Boys | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Sport Boys or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sport Boys = 1.57 (league 1.47), Comerciantes Unidos = 1.28 (league 0.94)
| Comerciantes Unidos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sport Boys | 0 | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 31.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1