Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 20:15 • Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.45) 0.59 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.1% 16.9% 8.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.8%
1 - 0
13.4%
3 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ayacucho FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Cristal 0 6.0% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.4% 7.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.0% 6.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CristalAyacucho FC
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack47%27%
Defense60%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Cristal Ayacucho FC
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins79%29%54%21%29%25%
Draws14%29%21%14%14%14%
Loses7%43%25%64%57%61%

Form: Sporting Cristal: DWWLLWLWLWWWLWLWDWWWWDWWDLDD • Ayacucho FC: LWLDLLDLLLDLWLLLWWLWDLLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Sporting Cristal Ayacucho FC
HATHAT
GF total321749121022
GF avg2.31.21.80.90.70.8
GA total111930212041
GA avg0.81.41.11.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CristalAyacucho FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%61%61%79%
1.554%32%14%46%
2.525%11%4%18%
3.511%4%0%4%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CristalAyacucho FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411246
Failed to score1566511

Penalties

MetricSporting CristalAyacucho FC
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total83

Streaks

MetricSporting CristalAyacucho FC
Wins42
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-43-21-2
Biggest losses1-24-11-43-0
Goals For5432
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricSporting CristalAyacucho FC
Form50%50%
Att64%36%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h100%0%
Goals79%21%
Total65.2%34.8%

Advice: Double chance : Sporting Cristal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ 1xBet
Draw5.90 @ 188Bet
Away10.50 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting Cristal = 2.22 (league 1.45), Ayacucho FC = 0.59 (league 0.95)

Ayacucho FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Cristal 0 6.0% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.4% 7.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.0% 6.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.1% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 8.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1