Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Huancayo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.04 (league 1.45) 1.26 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.2% 14.3% 12.5%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 1
7.9%
3 - 0
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Universidad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Huancayo 0 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.1% 5.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.2% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.3% 8.0% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.8% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.9% 3.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSport HuancayoAlianza Universidad
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack53%40%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sport Huancayo Alianza Universidad
HATHAT
Played141529141428
Wins64%20%41%14%21%18%
Draws14%27%21%29%14%21%
Loses21%53%38%57%64%61%

Form: Sport Huancayo: WWLDWLLWWLWWWDDLWLDWLWLDDLLWL • Alianza Universidad: DLLLDLLWDLLLDDLLWLLLWLDWWLLL

League goals

Metric Sport Huancayo Alianza Universidad
HATHAT
GF total301040131427
GF avg2.10.71.40.91.01.0
GA total172340222951
GA avg1.21.51.41.62.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSport HuancayoAlianza Universidad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%76%61%82%
1.531%38%32%57%
2.521%17%4%32%
3.510%3%0%11%
4.57%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSport HuancayoAlianza Universidad
HATHAT
Clean sheets347325
Failed to score2796511

Penalties

MetricSport HuancayoAlianza Universidad
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 33.33%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 66.67%
Total33

Streaks

MetricSport HuancayoAlianza Universidad
Wins32
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-35-00-34-0
Goals For5323
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricSport HuancayoAlianza Universidad
Form40%60%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : Sport Huancayo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Betano
Draw4.55 @ Betano
Away6.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ SBO
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sport Huancayo = 3.04 (league 1.45), Alianza Universidad = 1.26 (league 0.95)

Alianza Universidad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Huancayo 0 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.1% 5.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.2% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.3% 8.0% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.8% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.9% 3.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.2% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 12.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1