Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.47) 1.44 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.5% 23.8% 33.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cusco 0 4.6% 6.7% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.5% 10.9% 7.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.3% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCuscoDeportivo Garcilaso
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack38%44%
Defense56%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cusco Deportivo Garcilaso
HATHAT
Played141428151328
Wins64%57%61%47%38%43%
Draws21%14%18%27%38%32%
Loses14%29%21%27%23%25%

Form: Cusco: LLWDWWLWLWWDWDDWWWWWWWWDWWLL • Deportivo Garcilaso: DWWWDWWLWLLLLWLWDLWDWDDWDWDD

League goals

Metric Cusco Deportivo Garcilaso
HATHAT
GF total282149231942
GF avg2.01.51.81.51.51.5
GA total121628121527
GA avg0.91.11.00.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCuscoDeportivo Garcilaso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%61%71%64%
1.561%29%46%21%
2.529%11%21%11%
3.511%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCuscoDeportivo Garcilaso
HATHAT
Clean sheets74115510
Failed to score347448

Penalties

MetricCuscoDeportivo Garcilaso
Scored (total | %)7 | 70.00%6 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)3 | 30.00%3 | 33.33%
Total109

Streaks

MetricCuscoDeportivo Garcilaso
Wins83
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-44-00-3
Biggest losses0-23-01-33-2
Goals For4444
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricCuscoDeportivo Garcilaso
Form44%56%
Att46%54%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h80%20%
Goals69%31%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Double chance : Cusco or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ 1xBet
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away3.70 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.94 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Unibet
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cusco = 1.63 (league 1.47), Deportivo Garcilaso = 1.44 (league 0.94)

Deportivo Garcilaso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cusco 0 4.6% 6.7% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.5% 10.9% 7.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.3% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.5% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 33.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1