Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.47) 1.02 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.6% 26.0% 25.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
UTC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Comerciantes Unidos 0 8.1% 8.3% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.3% 6.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.2% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricComerciantes UnidosUTC
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack38%31%
Defense46%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Comerciantes Unidos UTC
HATHAT
Played141428151429
Wins14%21%18%27%14%21%
Draws50%7%29%27%29%28%
Loses36%71%54%47%57%52%

Form: Comerciantes Unidos: DLDLDWLLDDLLLLWLLLLDLDWLWWLD • UTC: LLDDLWWLLWLWLLWDLDLDLLDDLLLDW

League goals

Metric Comerciantes Unidos UTC
HATHAT
GF total141428141125
GF avg1.01.01.00.90.80.9
GA total172946173148
GA avg1.22.11.61.12.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineComerciantes UnidosUTC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%82%55%72%
1.529%46%24%45%
2.54%25%3%21%
3.50%11%3%14%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricComerciantes UnidosUTC
HATHAT
Clean sheets325538
Failed to score4597613

Penalties

MetricComerciantes UnidosUTC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricComerciantes UnidosUTC
Wins22
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-11-2
Biggest losses0-44-00-46-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against4446

Model comparison

MetricComerciantes UnidosUTC
Form64%36%
Att56%44%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Double chance : Comerciantes Unidos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ William Hill
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away3.30 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.83 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.14 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Comerciantes Unidos = 1.49 (league 1.47), UTC = 1.02 (league 0.94)

UTC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Comerciantes Unidos 0 8.1% 8.3% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.3% 6.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.2% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.6% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 25.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1