Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Municipal Los Chankas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.46) 2.24 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.2% 20.0% 54.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
1 - 1
8.3%
1 - 3
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Cusco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cultural Santa Rosa 0 2.7% 6.1% 6.9% 5.2% 2.9% 1.3%
1 3.7% 8.3% 9.3% 7.0% 3.9% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.6% 6.3% 4.7% 2.7% 1.2%
3 1.1% 2.5% 2.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCultural Santa RosaCusco
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack43%71%
Defense14%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cultural Santa Rosa Cusco
HATHAT
Played121527151429
Wins50%20%33%67%57%62%
Draws33%27%30%20%14%17%
Loses17%53%37%13%29%21%

Form: Cultural Santa Rosa: DDLDWDLLDWWDLLWWDDLWLWWLWLL • Cusco: LLWDWWLWLWWDWDDWWWWWWWWDWWLLW

League goals

Metric Cultural Santa Rosa Cusco
HATHAT
GF total221436322153
GF avg1.80.91.32.11.51.8
GA total173047121628
GA avg1.42.01.70.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCultural Santa RosaCusco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%93%76%59%
1.541%48%62%28%
2.519%22%31%10%
3.50%4%14%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCultural Santa RosaCusco
HATHAT
Clean sheets1128412
Failed to score167347

Penalties

MetricCultural Santa RosaCusco
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total57

Streaks

MetricCultural Santa RosaCusco
Wins28
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-02-4
Biggest losses1-36-10-23-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against3633

Model comparison

MetricCultural Santa RosaCusco
Form40%60%
Att38%63%
Def37%63%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total40.2%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cusco

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Bet365
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away2.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ SBO
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cultural Santa Rosa = 1.35 (league 1.46), Cusco = 2.24 (league 0.94)

Cusco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cultural Santa Rosa 0 2.7% 6.1% 6.9% 5.2% 2.9% 1.3%
1 3.7% 8.3% 9.3% 7.0% 3.9% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.6% 6.3% 4.7% 2.7% 1.2%
3 1.1% 2.5% 2.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.2% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 54.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1