Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 20:15 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.61) 1.50 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.9% 25.2% 42.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
9.4%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Comerciantes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos 0 6.2% 9.4% 7.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.9% 11.9% 9.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.0% 7.6% 5.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantosComerciantes
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack80%100%
Defense20%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santos Comerciantes
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins40%45%43%73%20%48%
Draws30%0%14%18%40%29%
Loses30%55%43%9%40%24%

Form: Santos: DWDLWLWLDWWLLWLWWLLLW • Comerciantes: DWWWWLWWDWDDWLLDLWLDW

League goals

Metric Santos Comerciantes
HATHAT
GF total171431261137
GF avg1.71.31.52.41.11.8
GA total12203271219
GA avg1.21.81.50.61.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantosComerciantes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%81%81%67%
1.548%43%52%24%
2.514%24%24%0%
3.55%5%10%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantosComerciantes
HATHAT
Clean sheets224527
Failed to score134134

Penalties

MetricSantosComerciantes
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total47

Streaks

MetricSantosComerciantes
Wins24
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-36-00-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-12-0
Goals For4363
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricSantosComerciantes
Form46%54%
Att42%58%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h7%93%
Goals25%75%
Total33.3%66.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Comerciantes

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Betano
Away4.60 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.98 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santos = 1.27 (league 1.61), Comerciantes = 1.50 (league 0.88)

Comerciantes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos 0 6.2% 9.4% 7.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.9% 11.9% 9.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.0% 7.6% 5.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.9% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 42.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1