Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 20:15 •
Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre García
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.61)
0.18 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.8% | 21.7% | 3.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
26.7%
2 - 0
21.6%
0 - 0
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
| San Marcos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Comercio | 0 | 16.5% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.7% | 4.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.6% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Union Comercio | San Marcos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 7% |
| Attack | 90% | 30% |
| Defense | 60% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 17 | 3.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Union Comercio | San Marcos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 80% | 45% | 62% | 50% | 11% | 32% |
| Draws | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 44% | 26% |
| Loses | 10% | 45% | 29% | 40% | 44% | 42% |
Form: Union Comercio: WDLWWWLWLWLWLDWWWWWWL • San Marcos: WLWDWDWWDLLLDWLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Union Comercio | San Marcos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 17 | 37 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 15 | 23 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Union Comercio | San Marcos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 71% | 53% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 29% | 11% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 10% | 5% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Union Comercio | San Marcos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Union Comercio | San Marcos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Union Comercio | San Marcos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-4 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Union Comercio | San Marcos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 92% | 8% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 81% | 19% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 83.4% | 16.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Union Comercio or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Union Comercio = 1.62 (league 1.61), San Marcos = 0.18 (league 0.88)
| San Marcos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Comercio | 0 | 16.5% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.7% | 4.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.6% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.8% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 3.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1