Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.81 (league 1.42) 0.54 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.4% 11.2% 4.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.8%
3 - 0
13.0%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Universidad de Chile
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Lima 0 3.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.8% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.8% 7.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.0% 7.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.1% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza LimaUniversidad de Chile
Played43
Form83%67%
Attack78%78%
Defense78%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.87 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.52 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Lima Universidad de Chile
HATHAT
Played224213
Wins100%50%75%100%0%67%
Draws0%50%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%33%

Form: Alianza Lima: WDWW • Universidad de Chile: WLW

League goals

Metric Alianza Lima Universidad de Chile
HATHAT
GF total437617
GF avg2.01.51.83.01.02.3
GA total022022
GA avg0.01.00.50.02.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza LimaUniversidad de Chile
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%33%
1.575%0%33%33%
2.50%0%33%0%
3.50%0%33%0%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza LimaUniversidad de Chile
HATHAT
Clean sheets202202
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAlianza LimaUniversidad de Chile
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAlianza LimaUniversidad de Chile
Wins11
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-25-0
Biggest losses2-1
Goals For2251
Goals Against0102

Model comparison

MetricAlianza LimaUniversidad de Chile
Form63%38%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.3%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza Lima or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.67 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away3.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ William Hill
No1.93 @ Dafabet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza Lima = 2.81 (league 1.42), Universidad de Chile = 0.54 (league 0.92)

Universidad de Chile
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Lima 0 3.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.8% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.8% 7.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.0% 7.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.1% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.4% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 4.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1