Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.50) 5.58 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.7% 1.9% 48.9%
best score tips
0 - 5
8.7%
0 - 4
7.8%
1 - 5
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Baku Sportinq
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaqatala 0 0.2% 1.1% 3.0% 5.6% 7.8% 8.7%
1 0.1% 0.7% 2.0% 3.8% 5.2% 5.8%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.9%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZaqatalaBaku Sportinq
Played33
Form67%78%
Attack20%90%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.79 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.35 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zaqatala Baku Sportinq
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins50%100%67%50%100%67%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%33%
Loses50%0%33%0%0%0%

Form: Zaqatala: WLW • Baku Sportinq: DWW

League goals

Metric Zaqatala Baku Sportinq
HATHAT
GF total112639
GF avg0.51.00.73.03.03.0
GA total404325
GA avg2.00.01.31.52.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZaqatalaBaku Sportinq
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%100%100%
1.50%33%100%67%
2.50%33%67%0%
3.50%33%33%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZaqatalaBaku Sportinq
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricZaqatalaBaku Sportinq
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricZaqatalaBaku Sportinq
Wins10
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-14-12-3
Biggest losses0-4———
Goals For1143
Goals Against4022

Model comparison

MetricZaqatalaBaku Sportinq
Form46%54%
Att18%82%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution12%88%
H2h88%13%
Goals89%11%
Total51.5%48.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Zaqatala or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away4.33 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.72 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.83 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Zaqatala = 0.67 (league 1.50), Baku Sportinq = 5.58 (league 1.08)

Baku Sportinq
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaqatala 0 0.2% 1.1% 3.0% 5.6% 7.8% 8.7%
1 0.1% 0.7% 2.0% 3.8% 5.2% 5.8%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.9%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.7% · Draw 1.9% · Away win 48.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1