Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.50) 4.18 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.2% 11.3% 50.9%
best score tips
2 - 4
5.3%
1 - 4
5.3%
2 - 3
5.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mingəçevir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Şahdağ 0 0.2% 0.9% 1.8% 2.5% 2.6% 2.2%
1 0.4% 1.7% 3.6% 5.0% 5.3% 4.4%
2 0.4% 1.7% 3.6% 5.0% 5.3% 4.4%
3 0.3% 1.2% 2.4% 3.4% 3.5% 2.9%
4 0.1% 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 1.5%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricŞahdağMingəçevir
Played33
Form33%67%
Attack31%38%
Defense54%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.35 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 23 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Şahdağ Mingəçevir
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins0%50%33%100%50%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%50%67%0%50%33%

Form: Şahdağ: WLL • Mingəçevir: LWW

League goals

Metric Şahdağ Mingəçevir
HATHAT
GF total224235
GF avg2.01.01.32.01.51.7
GA total336033
GA avg3.01.52.00.01.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineŞahdağMingəçevir
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%67%67%
1.567%67%67%33%
2.50%33%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricŞahdağMingəçevir
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricŞahdağMingəçevir
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricŞahdağMingəçevir
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-22-01-3
Biggest losses2-32-02-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against3202

Model comparison

MetricŞahdağMingəçevir
Form33%67%
Att44%56%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h60%40%
Goals77%23%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mingəçevir and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.90 @ 1xBet
Draw4.20 @ Betfair
Away1.95 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.37 @ Superbet
No1.57 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Şahdağ = 2.01 (league 1.50), Mingəçevir = 4.18 (league 1.08)

Mingəçevir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Şahdağ 0 0.2% 0.9% 1.8% 2.5% 2.6% 2.2%
1 0.4% 1.7% 3.6% 5.0% 5.3% 4.4%
2 0.4% 1.7% 3.6% 5.0% 5.3% 4.4%
3 0.3% 1.2% 2.4% 3.4% 3.5% 2.9%
4 0.1% 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 1.5%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.2% · Draw 11.3% · Away win 50.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1