Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 10:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.48) 5.29 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.8% 2.2% 53.5%
best score tips
0 - 5
9.5%
0 - 4
9.0%
0 - 3
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Safa Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baku Sportinq 0 0.3% 1.4% 3.8% 6.8% 9.0% 9.5%
1 0.2% 0.9% 2.3% 4.1% 5.4% 5.8%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaku SportinqSafa Baku
Played44
Form67%100%
Attack59%76%
Defense65%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 2.513 | 3.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.51 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baku Sportinq Safa Baku
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins50%50%50%100%100%100%
Draws50%50%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Baku Sportinq: DWWD • Safa Baku: WWWW

League goals

Metric Baku Sportinq Safa Baku
HATHAT
GF total64109413
GF avg3.02.02.53.04.03.3
GA total336101
GA avg1.51.51.50.30.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaku SportinqSafa Baku
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%25%
1.575%50%100%0%
2.550%0%75%0%
3.525%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaku SportinqSafa Baku
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBaku SportinqSafa Baku
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBaku SportinqSafa Baku
Wins24
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-34-10-4
Biggest losses————
Goals For4344
Goals Against2210

Model comparison

MetricBaku SportinqSafa Baku
Form40%60%
Att43%57%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total32.3%67.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : Safa Baku and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Dafabet
Away1.65 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.92 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No1.85 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Baku Sportinq = 0.61 (league 1.48), Safa Baku = 5.29 (league 1.13)

Safa Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baku Sportinq 0 0.3% 1.4% 3.8% 6.8% 9.0% 9.5%
1 0.2% 0.9% 2.3% 4.1% 5.4% 5.8%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.8% · Draw 2.2% · Away win 53.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1