Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 10:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.48) 1.32 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.8% 28.3% 47.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.2%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Safa Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mingəçevir 0 11.5% 15.2% 10.0% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.8% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.1% 5.4% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMingəçevirSafa Baku
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack61%83%
Defense78%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mingəçevir Safa Baku
HATHAT
Played246426
Wins100%50%67%75%100%83%
Draws0%25%17%25%0%17%
Loses0%25%17%0%0%0%

Form: Mingəçevir: LWWDWW • Safa Baku: WWWWWD

League goals

Metric Mingəçevir Safa Baku
HATHAT
GF total561111617
GF avg2.51.51.82.83.02.8
GA total156314
GA avg0.51.31.00.80.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMingəçevirSafa Baku
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%50%
1.567%33%100%17%
2.550%0%50%0%
3.50%0%33%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMingəçevirSafa Baku
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricMingəçevirSafa Baku
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMingəçevirSafa Baku
Wins25
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-10-4
Biggest losses2-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricMingəçevirSafa Baku
Form50%50%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Safa Baku

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.14 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Superbet
No2.24 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mingəçevir = 0.84 (league 1.48), Safa Baku = 1.32 (league 1.13)

Safa Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mingəçevir 0 11.5% 15.2% 10.0% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.8% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.1% 5.4% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.8% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 47.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1