Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 10:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.50)
1.39 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5% | 27.4% | 49.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Safa Baku | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mingəçevir | 0 | 10.8% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 87% |
| Attack | 61% | 83% |
| Defense | 78% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Safa Baku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 75% | 100% | 83% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 17% | 25% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Mingəçevir: LWWDWW • Safa Baku: WWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Safa Baku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mingəçevir | Safa Baku | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 100% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Safa Baku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Safa Baku
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mingəçevir = 0.84 (league 1.50), Safa Baku = 1.39 (league 1.08)
| Safa Baku | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mingəçevir | 0 | 10.8% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.5% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 49.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1